Global Security Risk Map – Q1 2023

Neptune P2P Group - Global Security Risk Map Q1 2023
The Neptune P2P Group Global Security Risk Map provides a convenient visual display of the current level of Maritime and Land-based security threats in regions and countries around the world. It is designed to be an aid in assessing the risk to a company’s global business interests, allowing an instant appraisal of the security situation in their area of operations. Crisis situations can often flare up at short notice which might have repercussions on your business activities and employee safety. Recent global socio-economic pressures may lead to civil unrest and increasing levels of crime in countries not usually associated with such activity.

Changes to the Global Security Risk Map Q1 2023:
In Africa, our risk assessment for terrorist-related violence in Burkina Faso and Northwest Cameroon was raised to High. This was due to an increase in Islamic State West Africa activities as well as other factors such as ethno-separatism, overpopulation, migration and environmental decline. In Northern Ghana, there is potential for an increase in risk from emerging gang/tribe/jihadist-related violence as well as the pressures of environmental displacement.
In Europe, the threat level in Georgia was raised to High due to significant civil unrest following the proposed ‘law on transparency of foreign influence’ which is perceived as being pro-Russian and raises fears of Russian intervention in the country. In the Moldavian breakaway state of Transnistria, Russian interference is seen as way to exert pressure on Ukraine’s western flank and to unsettle Romania and the European Union. In Belarus, the threat level was increased to High as the Belarusian regime came under increasing pressure from the Kremlin to intervene more decisively in support of Russia in the war in Ukraine. The threat level also rose in the Russian province of Kaliningrad, reflecting a general increase to High elsewhere in western Russia.
In Asia, the threat level in Myanmar (Burma) was increased to Very High due to growth in the frequency and intensity of violence. Insurgents have access to increasingly sophisticated weaponry and retain strong support from the population base. In Japan, the treat was increased to Significant as inflammatory rhetoric from both China and North Korea (DPRK) increased. In addition, Japan has been under the flight path of an increased number of DPRK missile launches. South Korea was also increased to Significant due to DPRK missile activity.

The location and type of maritime security incidents reported in each quarter by International crime agencies, military organisations and security platforms are also shown, these incidents are reported in more detail in Neptune P2P’s Monthly Incident Report.