Headlines: Israel and Lebanon sign a US-brokered framework agreement establishing a phased process for Israeli redeployment and extension of Lebanese Armed Forces authority in southern Lebanon, although Hezbollah rejects the agreement. Regional tensions increase following Iranian ballistic missile and drone strikes against US military facilities in Kuwait and Bahrain, prompting two rounds of US strikes against Iranian military targets. Despite the exchanges, Washington and Tehran agree to a mutual military stand-down, with technical negotiations relocating to Doha and narrowing their focus to the Strait of Hormuz. Disagreement continues over the administration of USD 12 billion in frozen Iranian assets and the future management of the Strait, with conflicting public statements issued by US and Iranian officials. Separately, the IAEA reiterates plans to inspect Iranian nuclear facilities, Iran and Oman convene their first joint committee meeting under the MoU, and Turkey introduces enhanced security measures ahead of the NATO Summit. Brent crude prices recover modestly following the renewed Gulf exchanges and the upgrade of the Strait of Hormuz maritime threat level to SUBSTANTIAL.
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