
Headlines. The War Powers Resolution clock runs toward a 1 May inflection point as US military operations against Iran face a statutory halt without new congressional authorisation, while negotiations unravel amid deepening rifts. Iran sidelines chief negotiator Ghalibaf following a reprimand from Khamenei’s inner circle, nuclear issues are ruled out, and Islamabad talks collapse with US envoys cancelling mid‑flight as Tehran refuses enriched uranium concessions. Iran rapidly submits a Hormuz‑first proposal via Pakistani mediators, prompting Trump to convene the Situation Room even as Tehran rejects talks under blockade, Russia urges Washington to abandon ultimatums, and back‑channel communications begin to re‑emerge through Switzerland. Tensions widen across the region as Hormuz transits remain sparse, Iranian‑linked vessels are seized or detained, Hezbollah‑Israel violence spikes despite a ceasefire extension, Hamas signals limited security handover, and oil prices stay elevated amid warnings the war could ultimately erase a billion barrels of production.
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For real‑time awareness of maritime incidents, track developments using Neptune P2P Group’s interactive Maritime Incident Map, covering the Arabian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, and Gulf of Oman: Maritime Incident Map — Arabian Gulf / SoH / GoO
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